Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.009422 0.011219 0.013413 0.016341 0.020224 0.025317 0.032720
2025-05-11 0.007096 0.009149 0.011966 0.016282 0.023062 0.033987 0.054677
2025-05-18 0.005760 0.007791 0.010786 0.015810 0.024706 0.041512 0.081664
2025-05-25 0.004808 0.006714 0.009668 0.014953 0.025185 0.047145 0.111745
2025-06-01 0.004167 0.005970 0.008876 0.014363 0.025844 0.053558 0.154415
2025-06-08 0.003827 0.005630 0.008662 0.014730 0.028589 0.067132 0.254596
2025-06-15 0.003475 0.005213 0.008230 0.014543 0.030009 0.078517 0.391921
2025-06-22 0.003102 0.004713 0.007566 0.013713 0.029501 0.083429 0.521259
2025-06-29 0.002900 0.004482 0.007360 0.013820 0.031566 0.100459 0.933717
2025-07-06 0.002771 0.004361 0.007343 0.014348 0.035149 0.129798 2.280734
2025-07-13 0.002704 0.004343 0.007525 0.015401 0.041093 0.185217 11.924025
2025-07-20 0.002594 0.004232 0.007494 0.015913 0.045576 0.246617 205.096223
2025-07-27 0.002425 0.004008 0.007233 0.015861 0.048438 0.314380 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002272 0.003803 0.006989 0.015816 0.051565 0.410480 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002111 0.003565 0.006636 0.015363 0.052584 0.494256 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001946 0.003303 0.006195 0.014538 0.051268 0.537287 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001813 0.003096 0.005859 0.013971 0.051046 0.613621 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001746 0.003018 0.005814 0.014324 0.056408 0.936068 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001657 0.002885 0.005622 0.014144 0.058544 1.239613 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001545 0.002696 0.005270 0.013345 0.056098 1.288859 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001486 0.002616 0.005181 0.013448 0.060069 1.961961 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001450 0.002581 0.005202 0.013956 0.067835 4.036375 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001437 0.002594 0.005343 0.014970 0.081768 16.098604 NaN